<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v2.0 20040830//EN" "journalpublishing.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="2.0" xml:lang="en" article-type="research-article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">JMIRx Med</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">xmed</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="index">34</journal-id><journal-title>JMIRx Med</journal-title><abbrev-journal-title>JMIRx Med</abbrev-journal-title><issn pub-type="epub">2563-6316</issn><publisher><publisher-name>JMIR Publications</publisher-name><publisher-loc>Toronto, Canada</publisher-loc></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">v6i1e75293</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.2196/75293</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Original Paper</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Routine Childhood Vaccination Coverage in Ecuador From 2019 to 2021: Comparative Analysis</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" equal-contrib="yes"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sanchez</surname><given-names>Jose</given-names></name><degrees>MSc, MD</degrees><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib1">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rodriguez Sr</surname><given-names>Alejandro Arjuna</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib1">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cuello Sr</surname><given-names>Kimberlly Pamela Montenegro</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><institution>Faculty of Health Sciences and Human Well-being, Universidad Indoam&#x00E9;rica</institution><addr-line>Avenida Machala y Sabanilla, La Pradera</addr-line><addr-line>Quito</addr-line><country>Ecuador</country></aff><aff id="aff2"><institution>Faculty of Health Sciences "Eugenio Espejo", Universidad UTE</institution><addr-line>Quito</addr-line><country>Ecuador</country></aff><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name name-style="western"><surname>Grover</surname><given-names>Abhinav</given-names></name></contrib></contrib-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="reviewer"><name name-style="western"><surname>Adekola</surname><given-names>Adeleke</given-names></name></contrib><contrib contrib-type="reviewer"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mudashiru</surname><given-names>Busurat</given-names></name></contrib><contrib contrib-type="reviewer"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>Ziqing</given-names></name></contrib></contrib-group><author-notes><corresp>Correspondence to Jose Sanchez, MSc, MD, Faculty of Health Sciences and Human Well-being, Universidad Indoam&#x00E9;rica, Avenida Machala y Sabanilla, La PraderaQuito, 170509, Ecuador, 593 0984663224; <email>md.josesanchezr@gmail.com</email></corresp><fn fn-type="equal" id="equal-contrib1"><label>*</label><p>these authors contributed equally</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>17</day><month>10</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>6</volume><elocation-id>e75293</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>31</day><month>03</month><year>2025</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>15</day><month>05</month><year>2025</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>19</day><month>08</month><year>2025</year></date></history><copyright-statement>&#x00A9; Jose Sanchez, Alejandro Arjuna Rodriguez Sr, Kimberlly Pamela Montenegro Cuello Sr. Originally published in JMIRx Med (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://med.jmirx.org">https://med.jmirx.org</ext-link>), 17.10.2025. </copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link>), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIRx Med, is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://med.jmirx.org/">https://med.jmirx.org/</ext-link>, as well as this copyright and license information must be included.</p></license><self-uri xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="https://xmed.jmir.org/2025/1/e75293"/><related-article related-article-type="companion" ext-link-type="doi" xlink:href="10.1101/2025.03.26.25324742v1" xlink:title="Preprint (medRxiv)" xlink:type="simple">https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.03.26.25324742v1</related-article><related-article related-article-type="companion" ext-link-type="doi" xlink:href="10.2196/84847" xlink:title="Peer-Review Report by Ziqing Wang (Reviewer G)" xlink:type="simple">https://med.jmirx.org/2025/1/e84847</related-article><related-article related-article-type="companion" ext-link-type="doi" xlink:href="10.2196/84848" xlink:title="Peer-Review Report by Adeleke Adekola (Reviewer L)" xlink:type="simple">https://med.jmirx.org/2025/1/e84848</related-article><related-article related-article-type="companion" ext-link-type="doi" xlink:href="10.2196/84849" xlink:title="Peer-Review Report by Busurat Mudashiru (Reviewer M)" xlink:type="simple">https://med.jmirx.org/2025/1/e84849</related-article><related-article related-article-type="companion" ext-link-type="doi" xlink:href="10.2196/84851" xlink:title="Authors' Response to Peer-Review Reports" xlink:type="simple">https://med.jmirx.org/2025/1/e84851</related-article><abstract><sec><title>Background</title><p>The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted essential health care services globally, including routine childhood immunization programs. Ecuador faced significant challenges in maintaining vaccination coverage during this period.</p></sec><sec><title>Objective</title><p>The aim of this study is to analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on routine childhood vaccination coverage in Ecuador by comparing prepandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020&#x2010;2021) data.</p></sec><sec sec-type="methods"><title>Methods</title><p>This retrospective observational study analyzed vaccination coverage data from the Ministry of Public Health of Ecuador and demographic data from the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses. We examined routine childhood vaccination coverage for children under 24 months across all 24 provinces. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (version 28.0), including descriptive statistics and comparative analysis. Coverage rates were calculated as percentages of children in target age groups receiving recommended doses.</p></sec><sec sec-type="results"><title>Results</title><p>A significant decline in routine childhood vaccination coverage was observed during the pandemic. BCG vaccine coverage decreased from 86.4% in 2019 (n=286,569) to 80.7% in 2020 (n=266,961) and 75.3% in 2021 (n=248,812). Pentavalent vaccine third dose coverage dropped from 85.0% to 68.0% across the same period. The most dramatic decline was seen in measles-mumps-rubella vaccine second dose coverage, falling from 75.7% in 2019 to 58.4% in 2021. Coastal and highland provinces experienced the most severe reductions, with approximately 137,000 fewer doses administered in 2020 compared to stable prepandemic levels.</p></sec><sec sec-type="conclusions"><title>Conclusions</title><p>The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted routine childhood vaccination coverage in Ecuador, with sustained declines through 2021. Regional disparities were evident, with vulnerable populations facing greater challenges accessing immunization services. Urgent interventions, including catch-up campaigns and strengthened health systems, are needed to restore coverage levels and prevent outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases.</p></sec></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>COVID-19 pandemic</kwd><kwd>vaccination coverage</kwd><kwd>Ecuador</kwd><kwd>immunization</kwd><kwd>routine vaccination</kwd><kwd>health disparities</kwd><kwd>vaccine hesitancy</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1" sec-type="intro"><title>Introduction</title><sec id="s1-1"><title>Background and Global Context</title><p>The COVID-19 pandemic emerged as an unprecedented global health crisis, fundamentally disrupting health care systems and essential services worldwide [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>]. Beyond the direct morbidity and mortality caused by SARS-CoV-2, the pandemic created far-reaching consequences for routine health care delivery, particularly impacting childhood immunization programs that are critical for preventing infectious diseases and maintaining population health [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>].</p><p>Global evidence demonstrates substantial disruptions to vaccination services during the pandemic. The World Health Organization reported that at least 68% of countries experienced disruptions to childhood immunization programs, with low- and middle-income countries disproportionately affected [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>]. These disruptions resulted from multiple factors including health care worker redeployment, supply chain interruptions, physical distancing measures, and reduced health care&#x2013;seeking behavior due to fear of COVID-19 transmission [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s1-2"><title>Impact on Low- and Middle-Income Countries</title><p>In low- and middle-income countries, where health care infrastructure may be fragile and resources limited, the pandemic exacerbated preexisting challenges in vaccination delivery [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>]. Countries in Latin America and the Caribbean faced particular difficulties, with studies showing that COVID-19 containment measures led to significant reductions in routine immunization coverage across the region [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>]. Castro-Aguirre et al [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>] conducted a comprehensive analysis of 39 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean, finding significant reductions in diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus (DTP) vaccine coverage in 79% of assessed regions.</p></sec><sec id="s1-3"><title>Ecuador&#x2019;s Prepandemic Vaccination Context</title><p>Ecuador, a South American country with diverse geographical regions and varying levels of health care access, operated a national immunization program that faced coverage challenges even before the pandemic [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>]. The country&#x2019;s immunization system demonstrated disparities across different geographical regions and socioeconomic groups, with rural and Indigenous populations often experiencing lower vaccination rates [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>].</p><p>Prior to 2020, Ecuador&#x2019;s routine childhood vaccination program included vaccines against tuberculosis (BCG), diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus-hepatitis B-<italic>Haemophilus influenzae</italic> type b (pentavalent), pneumococcal disease, poliovirus, rotavirus, measles-mumps-rubella, yellow fever, and varicella [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>]. Coverage rates varied significantly across provinces, reflecting the country&#x2019;s geographical challenges and socioeconomic disparities [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s1-4"><title>Pandemic Impact in Ecuador</title><p>As of July 2021, only 57% of Ecuador&#x2019;s population had received the first COVID-19 vaccine dose, highlighting significant challenges in reaching underserved populations in remote areas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>]. The pandemic&#x2019;s impact on routine childhood vaccination was particularly concerning, given the potential for vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks in an already vulnerable population [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>].</p><p>The implementation of movement restrictions, health care system overwhelm, and resource reallocation to COVID-19 response efforts created substantial barriers to routine immunization services [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>]. Health care facilities experienced reduced capacity, parents delayed or avoided medical visits due to infection fears, and supply chains faced significant disruptions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s1-5"><title>Study Rationale and Objectives</title><p>Understanding the specific impact of COVID-19 on Ecuador&#x2019;s childhood vaccination program is crucial for developing targeted interventions to restore coverage levels and prevent future disruptions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>]. This analysis provides essential data for policymakers and public health officials working to strengthen immunization systems and improve pandemic preparedness [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>].</p><p>The primary objective of this study is to quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on routine childhood vaccination coverage in Ecuador by comparing coverage rates before (ie, 2019) and during (ie, 2020&#x2010;2021) the pandemic and to identify geographical disparities in vaccination access during this period.</p></sec></sec><sec id="s2" sec-type="methods"><title>Methods</title><sec id="s2-1"><title>Study Design</title><p>This study used a retrospective, observational design to analyze vaccination coverage data from Ecuador&#x2019;s national immunization program. We conducted a comparative analysis examining routine childhood vaccination coverage for the prepandemic period (2019) and the pandemic period (2020&#x2010;2021) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>]. This design allowed for the examination of temporal trends and changes in vaccination coverage, providing insights into the pandemic&#x2019;s impact on immunization services.</p></sec><sec id="s2-2"><title>Data Sources and Collection</title><p>Primary data for this study were obtained from three key sources:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Ministry of Public Health National Immunization Strategy Bulletin: This official source provided comprehensive vaccination coverage data at the national and provincial level, including the number of doses administered, target populations, and calculated coverage rates for all routine childhood vaccines [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INEC): INEC provided demographic data including population estimates, birth rates, and population projections used to calculate coverage rates and understand target populations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Published literature: To provide additional context and support for the findings, we conducted a systematic review of relevant peer-reviewed studies using PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases with keywords including &#x201C;COVID-19,&#x201D; &#x201C;vaccination coverage,&#x201D; &#x201C;Ecuador,&#x201D; &#x201C;childhood immunization,&#x201D; and &#x201C;pandemic impact&#x201D; [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s2-3"><title>Study Population</title><p>The study population consisted of children under 24 months of age in Ecuador, representing the target age group for routine childhood vaccinations according to the national immunization schedule [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">24</xref>]. Data were analyzed for all 24 provinces across 4 geographical regions: Costa (coast), Sierra (highlands), Amazon&#x00ED;a (Amazon region), and Insular (Gal&#x00E1;pagos Islands) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s2-4"><title>Vaccination Coverage Metrics</title><p>We analyzed coverage for the following vaccines according to Ecuador&#x2019;s national immunization schedule [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>]:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>BCG: administered at birth</p></list-item><list-item><p>Hepatitis B: first dose at birth</p></list-item><list-item><p>Pentavalent (DTP-hepatitis B-<italic>Haemophilus influenzae</italic> type b): three doses at 2, 4, and 6 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Pneumococcal conjugate: three doses at 2, 4, and 6 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Inactivated poliovirus vaccine: two doses at 2 and 4 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Bivalent oral polio vaccine: doses at 6 and &#x2265;12 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Rotavirus: two doses at 2 and 4 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Measles-mumps-rubella (MMR): two doses at 12 and 18 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Yellow fever: single dose at 12 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>Varicella: single dose at 15 months</p></list-item><list-item><p>DTP booster: fourth dose at 12&#x2010;15 months</p></list-item></list><p>Coverage rates were calculated as the percentage of children in the target age group who received the recommended number of doses for each vaccine, following World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines for vaccination coverage assessment [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">27</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s2-5"><title>Data Analysis</title><p>Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (version 28.0; IBM Corp) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">28</xref>]. The following analytical approaches were used:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Descriptive statistics: We calculated frequencies, percentages, means, and standard deviations to summarize vaccination coverage data and population characteristics [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29">29</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Comparative analysis: Coverage rates were compared between the prepandemic year (2019) and pandemic years (2020&#x2010;2021) using appropriate statistical methods. We calculated absolute and relative changes in coverage between time periods [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref30">30</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Geographical analysis: We examined regional and provincial variations in vaccination coverage to identify areas most affected by pandemic-related disruptions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">31</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Trend visualization: Coverage data were plotted over time to visualize trends and identify patterns of decline or recovery across different vaccines and regions using the <italic>matplotlib</italic> and <italic>seaborn</italic> libraries in Python [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">32</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s2-6"><title>Ethical Considerations</title><p>This study used secondary, publicly available data from official government sources and did not involve direct human subjects research. Therefore, ethical approval from an institutional review board was not required [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33">33</xref>]. All data were anonymized and analyzed in aggregate form, ensuring privacy protection [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref34">34</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s2-7"><title>Data Quality and Limitations</title><p>Data quality was ensured through cross-referencing between the Ministry of Public Health and INEC sources. Limitations include the lack of detailed socioeconomic data at the individual level and the absence of data beyond 2021, which would allow assessment of recovery efforts [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35">35</xref>].</p></sec></sec><sec id="s3" sec-type="results"><title>Results</title><sec id="s3-1"><title>Overall Vaccination Coverage Trends</title><p>Analysis of routine childhood vaccination data revealed a clear pattern of declining coverage between 2019 and 2021, demonstrating the significant impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on adherence to immunization schedules [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref36">36</xref>]. <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref> presents comprehensive coverage data showing this concerning trend across all major vaccines.</p><table-wrap id="t1" position="float"><label>Table 1.</label><caption><p>Regional and provincial population data for the years 2019, 2020, and 2021.<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table1fn1">a</xref></sup></p></caption><table id="table1" frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom" colspan="2">Region and province</td><td align="left" valign="bottom">2019</td><td align="left" valign="bottom">2020</td><td align="left" valign="bottom">2021</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="5">Costa</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Esmeraldas</td><td align="left" valign="top">13,293</td><td align="left" valign="top">13,211</td><td align="left" valign="top">13,128</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Manab&#x00ED;</td><td align="left" valign="top">29,299</td><td align="left" valign="top">29,207</td><td align="left" valign="top">29,005</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Los R&#x00ED;os</td><td align="left" valign="top">18,897</td><td align="left" valign="top">18,888</td><td align="left" valign="top">18,798</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Santa Elena</td><td align="left" valign="top">8834</td><td align="left" valign="top">8897</td><td align="left" valign="top">8900</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Guayas</td><td align="left" valign="top">79,543</td><td align="left" valign="top">79,535</td><td align="left" valign="top">79,519</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Santo Domingo</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,535</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,537</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,541</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">El Oro</td><td align="left" valign="top">12,526</td><td align="left" valign="top">12,464</td><td align="left" valign="top">12,438</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="5">Sierra</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Azuay</td><td align="left" valign="top">15,903</td><td align="left" valign="top">15,700</td><td align="left" valign="top">15,688</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Bol&#x00ED;var</td><td align="left" valign="top">4338</td><td align="left" valign="top">4223</td><td align="left" valign="top">4205</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Ca&#x00F1;ar</td><td align="left" valign="top">5680</td><td align="left" valign="top">5660</td><td align="left" valign="top">5640</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Carchi</td><td align="left" valign="top">3258</td><td align="left" valign="top">3236</td><td align="left" valign="top">3214</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Cotopaxi</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,355</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,304</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,293</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Chimborazo</td><td align="left" valign="top">9853</td><td align="left" valign="top">9764</td><td align="left" valign="top">9660</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Imbabura</td><td align="left" valign="top">9173</td><td align="left" valign="top">9141</td><td align="left" valign="top">9115</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Loja</td><td align="left" valign="top">9978</td><td align="left" valign="top">9923</td><td align="left" valign="top">9872</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pichincha</td><td align="left" valign="top">56,698</td><td align="left" valign="top">57,062</td><td align="left" valign="top">57,200</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Tungurahua</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,166</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,111</td><td align="left" valign="top">10,069</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="5">Amazon&#x00ED;a</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Morona Santiago</td><td align="left" valign="top">4895</td><td align="left" valign="top">4842</td><td align="left" valign="top">4822</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Napo</td><td align="left" valign="top">3341</td><td align="left" valign="top">3361</td><td align="left" valign="top">3381</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Orellana</td><td align="left" valign="top">3883</td><td align="left" valign="top">3821</td><td align="left" valign="top">3800</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pastaza</td><td align="left" valign="top">2639</td><td align="left" valign="top">2659</td><td align="left" valign="top">2679</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Sucumb&#x00ED;os</td><td align="left" valign="top">4944</td><td align="left" valign="top">4958</td><td align="left" valign="top">4978</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Zamora Chinchipe</td><td align="left" valign="top">2839</td><td align="left" valign="top">2837</td><td align="left" valign="top">2833</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="5">Insular</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Gal&#x00E1;pagos</td><td align="left" valign="top">624</td><td align="left" valign="top">631</td><td align="left" valign="top">666</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="2">Total</td><td align="left" valign="top">331,494</td><td align="left" valign="top">330,972</td><td align="left" valign="top">330,444</td></tr></tbody></table><table-wrap-foot><fn id="table1fn1"><p><sup>a</sup>Direcci&#x00F3;n Nacional de Estad&#x00ED;stica y An&#x00E1;lisis de Informaci&#x00F3;n de Salud (DNEAIS), early and late capture base, developed by the Ministry of Public Health National Immunization Strategy.</p></fn></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="figure1">Figure 1</xref> illustrates the temporal trends in vaccination coverage for key vaccines from 2019 to 2021. The visualization clearly demonstrates the progressive decline in coverage rates, with the most dramatic decreases occurring between 2020 and 2021. A heatmap provides an alternative visualization of the comprehensive data presented in <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>, highlighting the widespread nature of the coverage decline (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="figure2">Figure 2</xref>).</p><fig position="float" id="figure1"><label>Figure 1.</label><caption><p>Vaccination coverage trends in Ecuador (2019-2021). The line graph shows the temporal trends for BCG, pentavalent 3, pneumococcal 3, rotavirus 2, and MMR 2 vaccines, with the 80% World Health Organization threshold line. MMR: measles-mumps-rubella.</p></caption><graphic alt-version="no" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="xmed_v6i1e75293_fig01.png"/></fig><table-wrap id="t2" position="float"><label>Table 2.</label><caption><p>Vaccination coverage by target group, vaccine type, and year (2019-2021).<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table2fn1">a</xref></sup></p></caption><table id="table2" frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom" colspan="2">Target group and vaccine</td><td align="left" valign="bottom" colspan="2">2019</td><td align="left" valign="bottom" colspan="2">2020</td><td align="left" valign="bottom" colspan="2">2021</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="2"/><td align="left" valign="top">Doses applied</td><td align="left" valign="top">Coverage, %</td><td align="left" valign="top">Doses applied</td><td align="left" valign="top">Coverage, %</td><td align="left" valign="top">Doses applied</td><td align="left" valign="top">Coverage, %</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">Birth (4 h)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">BCG total</td><td align="left" valign="top">286,569</td><td align="left" valign="top">86.4</td><td align="left" valign="top">266,961</td><td align="left" valign="top">80.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">248,812</td><td align="left" valign="top">75.3</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">HB<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table2fn2">b</xref></sup> zero</td><td align="left" valign="top">237,145</td><td align="left" valign="top">71.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">204,979</td><td align="left" valign="top">61.9</td><td align="left" valign="top">202,679</td><td align="left" valign="top">61.3</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">2 months</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pentavalent 1</td><td align="left" valign="top">282,623</td><td align="left" valign="top">85.3</td><td align="left" valign="top">246,141</td><td align="left" valign="top">74.4</td><td align="left" valign="top">254,565</td><td align="left" valign="top">77</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pneumococcal 1</td><td align="left" valign="top">277,310</td><td align="left" valign="top">83.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">265,924</td><td align="left" valign="top">80.4</td><td align="left" valign="top">238,605</td><td align="left" valign="top">72.2</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">IPV<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table2fn3">c</xref></sup> 1</td><td align="left" valign="top">282,277</td><td align="left" valign="top">85.2</td><td align="left" valign="top">263,867</td><td align="left" valign="top">79.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">232,631</td><td align="left" valign="top">70.4</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Rotavirus 1</td><td align="left" valign="top">278,994</td><td align="left" valign="top">84.2</td><td align="left" valign="top">253,192</td><td align="left" valign="top">76.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">214,668</td><td align="left" valign="top">65</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">4 months</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pentavalent 2</td><td align="left" valign="top">284,078</td><td align="left" valign="top">85.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">243,317</td><td align="left" valign="top">73.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">243,082</td><td align="left" valign="top">73.6</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pneumococcal 2</td><td align="left" valign="top">278,085</td><td align="left" valign="top">83.9</td><td align="left" valign="top">256,408</td><td align="left" valign="top">77.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">228,686</td><td align="left" valign="top">69.2</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">IPV 2</td><td align="left" valign="top">282,171</td><td align="left" valign="top">85.1</td><td align="left" valign="top">260,538</td><td align="left" valign="top">78.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">211,797</td><td align="left" valign="top">64.1</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Rotavirus 2</td><td align="left" valign="top">280,431</td><td align="left" valign="top">84.6</td><td align="left" valign="top">248,973</td><td align="left" valign="top">75.2</td><td align="left" valign="top">199,909</td><td align="left" valign="top">60.5</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">6 months</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pentavalent 3</td><td align="left" valign="top">281,734</td><td align="left" valign="top">85</td><td align="left" valign="top">233,371</td><td align="left" valign="top">70.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">224,702</td><td align="left" valign="top">68</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Pneumococcal 3</td><td align="left" valign="top">275,947</td><td align="left" valign="top">83.2</td><td align="left" valign="top">251,977</td><td align="left" valign="top">76.1</td><td align="left" valign="top">205,659</td><td align="left" valign="top">62.2</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">bOPV<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table2fn4">d</xref></sup> 3</td><td align="left" valign="top">280,390</td><td align="left" valign="top">84.6</td><td align="left" valign="top">239,889</td><td align="left" valign="top">72.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">193,510</td><td align="left" valign="top">58.6</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">12 months</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">MMR 1</td><td align="left" valign="top">276,289</td><td align="left" valign="top">83.3</td><td align="left" valign="top">266,550</td><td align="left" valign="top">80.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">215,874</td><td align="left" valign="top">65.3</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Yellow fever</td><td align="left" valign="top">279,008</td><td align="left" valign="top">84.2</td><td align="left" valign="top">263,123</td><td align="left" valign="top">79.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">230,524</td><td align="left" valign="top">69.8</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">15 months</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">Varicella</td><td align="left" valign="top">268,434</td><td align="left" valign="top">81</td><td align="left" valign="top">259,880</td><td align="left" valign="top">78.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">218,800</td><td align="left" valign="top">66.2</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">18 months</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">MMR<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table2fn5">e</xref></sup> 2</td><td align="left" valign="top">250,964</td><td align="left" valign="top">75.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">232,883</td><td align="left" valign="top">70.4</td><td align="left" valign="top">192,835</td><td align="left" valign="top">58.4</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" colspan="8">1 year from third dose</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">bOPV 4</td><td align="left" valign="top">254,395</td><td align="left" valign="top">76.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">229,210</td><td align="left" valign="top">69.3</td><td align="left" valign="top">193,234</td><td align="left" valign="top">58.5</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top"/><td align="left" valign="top">DTP<sup><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="table2fn6">f</xref></sup> 4</td><td align="left" valign="top">254,256</td><td align="left" valign="top">76.7</td><td align="left" valign="top">249,857</td><td align="left" valign="top">75.5</td><td align="left" valign="top">196,616</td><td align="left" valign="top">59.5</td></tr></tbody></table><table-wrap-foot><fn id="table2fn1"><p><sup>a</sup>Direcci&#x00F3;n Nacional de Estad&#x00ED;stica y An&#x00E1;lisis de Informaci&#x00F3;n de Salud (DNEAIS), early and late capture base, developed by the Ministry of Public Health national immunization strategy.</p></fn><fn id="table2fn2"><p><sup>b</sup>HB: hepatitis B.</p></fn><fn id="table2fn3"><p><sup>c</sup>IPV: inactivated poliovirus vaccine. </p></fn><fn id="table2fn4"><p><sup>d</sup>bOPV: bivalent oral polio vaccine.</p></fn><fn id="table2fn5"><p><sup>e</sup>MMR: measles-mumps-rubella.</p></fn><fn id="table2fn6"><p><sup>f</sup>DTP: diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus.</p></fn></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap><fig position="float" id="figure2"><label>Figure 2.</label><caption><p>Heatmap of vaccination coverage by vaccine and year. A color-coded heatmap showing all vaccines across the 3 years, with coverage percentages displayed. bOPV: bivalent oral polio vaccine; DTP: diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus; MMR: measles-mumps-rubella.</p></caption><graphic alt-version="no" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="xmed_v6i1e75293_fig02.png"/></fig></sec><sec id="s3-2"><title>Vaccine-Specific Coverage Analysis</title><p>We conducted an analysis on vaccine-specific coverage and found the following:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>BCG vaccine (birth): Coverage for BCG, administered at birth, decreased progressively from 86.4% in 2019 (286,569 doses) to 80.7% in 2020 (266,961 doses) and further to 75.3% in 2021 (248,812 doses). This represents a cumulative decrease of 11.1 percentage points over the 2-year period [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37">37</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Pentavalent vaccine series: The pentavalent vaccine showed variable patterns across doses. First dose coverage declined from 85.3% in 2019 to 74.4% in 2020 but showed slight recovery to 77% in 2021. However, completion rates for the 3-dose series remained substantially below prepandemic levels, with third dose coverage falling from 85% in 2019 to 68% in 2021 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref38">38</xref>]. This growing gap between initiation and completion of the series is a critical indicator of service disruption (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="figure3">Figure 3</xref>).</p></list-item><list-item><p>Pneumococcal vaccine: This vaccine experienced consistent declines across all 3 doses. First dose coverage fell from 83.7% in 2019 to 72.2% in 2021, while third dose coverage dropped more dramatically from 83.2% to 62.2% over the same period [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref39">39</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Rotavirus vaccine: Among the most affected vaccines, rotavirus coverage showed severe declines. Second dose coverage plummeted from 84.6% in 2019 to 60.5% in 2021, representing a 24.1 percentage point decrease [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref40">40</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>MMR: MMR vaccine coverage demonstrated significant drops, particularly for the second dose administered at 18 months. Coverage fell from 75.7% in 2019 to 58.4% in 2021, indicating potential vulnerability to measles outbreaks [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">41</xref>].</p></list-item></list><fig position="float" id="figure3"><label>Figure 3.</label><caption><p>Pentavalent series coverage by dose and year. Bar chart comparing coverage rates for the 3 pentavalent doses across years.</p></caption><graphic alt-version="no" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="xmed_v6i1e75293_fig03.png"/></fig></sec><sec id="s3-3"><title>Regional and Provincial Disparities</title><p><xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref> presents population data across Ecuador&#x2019;s 4 main regions and 24 provinces, providing context for understanding vaccination disparities. Analysis revealed significant geographical variations in pandemic impact [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref42">42</xref>] (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="figure4">Figure 4</xref>):</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Coastal region (Costa): This region, including major urban centers like Guayas (containing Guayaquil), experienced substantial coverage declines. Rural coastal provinces such as Esmeraldas and Los R&#x00ED;os showed particularly severe disruptions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref43">43</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Highland region (Sierra): Provincial coverage varied significantly, with Pichincha (containing Quito) maintaining relatively better coverage compared to rural provinces like Bol&#x00ED;var and Ca&#x00F1;ar [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref44">44</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Amazon region (Amazon&#x00ED;a): These provinces, already facing geographical access challenges, experienced compounded difficulties during the pandemic. Remote provinces like Pastaza and Zamora Chinchipe showed marked coverage declines [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">45</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Gal&#x00E1;pagos (Insular): Despite its small population, this region maintained relatively stable coverage due to its isolated nature and focused health interventions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">46</xref>].</p></list-item></list><fig position="float" id="figure4"><label>Figure 4.</label><caption><p>Regional comparison of vaccine coverage in 2019 and 2021.</p></caption><graphic alt-version="no" mimetype="image" position="float" xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="xmed_v6i1e75293_fig04.png"/></fig></sec><sec id="s3-4"><title>Magnitude of Coverage Loss</title><p>Comparative analysis revealed that approximately 137,000 fewer vaccine doses were administered in 2020 compared to 2019, with further decreases in 2021 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">47</xref>]. The pentavalent vaccine showed the most substantial absolute reduction (17.7%), followed by poliovirus, rotavirus, and pneumococcal vaccines [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref48">48</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s3-5"><title>Public Health Implications</title><p>The sustained decline in vaccination coverage through 2021 indicates that pandemic effects on childhood immunization were not temporary disruptions but represented persistent challenges to the health system [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">49</xref>]. Coverage rates falling below critical thresholds (particularly those below 80%) increase the risk of vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks, especially in areas with clustered susceptible populations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref50">50</xref>].</p></sec></sec><sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion"><title>Discussion</title><sec id="s4-1"><title>Principal Findings and Global Context</title><p>Our findings reveal a concerning pattern of declining routine childhood vaccination coverage in Ecuador during the COVID-19 pandemic, with sustained decreases through 2021. These results align with global trends documented worldwide, where the pandemic disrupted essential health services beyond the direct impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref51">51</xref>]. The magnitude of decline in Ecuador&#x2014;with some vaccines showing coverage drops exceeding 20 percentage points&#x2014;represents one of the more severe impacts documented in Latin America [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref52">52</xref>].</p><p>The observed patterns are consistent with findings from other Latin American countries. Castro-Aguirre et al&#x2019;s [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>] regional analysis of 39 countries showed significant reductions in DTP vaccine coverage in 79% of assessed regions, with Ecuador among the most affected. Our data add valuable country-specific detail to this regional picture, demonstrating the heterogeneous impact across different vaccines and geographical areas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref53">53</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s4-2"><title>Factors Contributing to Coverage Decline</title><p>Several interconnected factors contributed to the vaccination coverage declines observed in Ecuador [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref54">54</xref>]:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Health care system disruptions: The reallocation of health care resources to COVID-19 response efforts, including health care worker deployment to the pandemic response, reduced capacity for routine services [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref55">55</xref>]. Many health facilities were repurposed for COVID-19 care or experienced reduced operating capacity due to infection control measures [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref56">56</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Movement restrictions and access barriers: Government-imposed lockdowns and movement restrictions, particularly strict during Ecuador&#x2019;s initial pandemic response, limited families&#x2019; ability to access vaccination services [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">57</xref>]. Rural populations faced compounded challenges with transportation disruptions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref58">58</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Fear of infection: Parents&#x2019; concerns about COVID-19 exposure in health care settings led to delayed or avoided vaccination appointments [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref59">59</xref>]. This behavioral factor persisted even as restrictions were lifted, contributing to continued coverage declines in 2021 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref60">60</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Supply chain disruptions: Global and regional supply chain disruptions affected vaccine availability and distribution, though specific vaccine stockout data were not consistently available for this analysis [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref61">61</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s4-3"><title>Regional Disparities and Equity Concerns</title><p>The geographical analysis revealed significant disparities in pandemic impact across Ecuador&#x2019;s regions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref62">62</xref>]. Coastal and highland provinces experienced the most severe reductions, while some Amazon provinces showed variable patterns. These disparities reflect preexisting inequalities in health care access that were exacerbated during the pandemic [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref63">63</xref>].</p><p>Urban centers like Quito and Guayaquil, despite having better health care infrastructure, experienced substantial coverage declines, likely due to higher COVID-19 transmission concerns and stricter lockdown measures [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">64</xref>]. Rural provinces faced the dual challenge of limited health care access and additional pandemic-related barriers [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref65">65</xref>].</p><p>Indigenous and rural populations, who already faced coverage gaps before the pandemic, were disproportionately affected [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref66">66</xref>]. Arce Becerra et al&#x2019;s [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref42">42</xref>] study of Quito&#x2019;s metropolitan district showed stark urban-rural differences, with rural parish coverage declining more severely than that in urban areas.</p></sec><sec id="s4-4"><title>Implications for Child Health and Disease Outbreaks</title><p>The sustained decline in vaccination coverage has serious implications for child health in Ecuador [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref67">67</xref>]. Coverage levels below 80% for most vaccines place the population at risk of vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref68">68</xref>]. Of particular concern are the following:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Measles risk: With MMR second dose coverage falling to 58.4% in 2021, Ecuador faces increased susceptibility to measles outbreaks, especially given the highly contagious nature of the measles virus and the WHO recommendation of 95% coverage for herd immunity [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref69">69</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Pertussis and diphtheria: Declining pentavalent coverage increases the risk of these serious bacterial infections, which are particularly dangerous in young infants who rely on maternal antibodies and community immunity [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref70">70</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Poliovirus: Although Ecuador has maintained polio-free status since 1990, reduced oral polio vaccine coverage raises concerns about potential importation and circulation of poliovirus, particularly given regional polio cases in neighboring countries [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref71">71</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s4-5"><title>Recovery Strategies and Policy Recommendations</title><p>Addressing the vaccination coverage decline requires comprehensive, multifaceted interventions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref72">72</xref>]:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Catch-up vaccination campaigns: Targeted mass vaccination campaigns should prioritize children who missed routine vaccinations during the pandemic. Age-appropriate catch-up schedules need implementation to ensure complete immunization, following WHO catch-up vaccination guidelines [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref73">73</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Health system strengthening: Investment in robust health systems that can maintain essential services during emergencies is crucial. This includes adequate staffing, infrastructure improvements, and emergency preparedness protocols [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref74">74</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Community engagement and education: Addressing vaccine hesitancy through community-based education programs, particularly targeting misinformation about COVID-19 and routine vaccines, is essential for coverage recovery [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref75">75</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Digital health innovations: Implementation of digital vaccination registries and reminder systems can improve tracking and follow-up of children requiring catch-up vaccinations [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref76">76</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Integrated service delivery: Combining routine vaccination with other child health services and COVID-19 vaccination efforts can improve efficiency and access [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref77">77</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s4-6"><title>Pandemic Preparedness and Resilience</title><p>Lessons learned from Ecuador&#x2019;s experience should inform pandemic preparedness for future health emergencies [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref78">78</xref>]:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Essential service designation: Routine childhood vaccination should be explicitly designated as essential during health emergencies, with specific protocols to maintain service delivery [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref79">79</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Flexible service delivery models: Developing outreach vaccination programs and mobile clinics can ensure continued access during movement restrictions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref80">80</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Community health workers: Training and deploying community health workers for vaccination education and basic immunization services can maintain coverage in remote areas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref81">81</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s4-7"><title>Comparison With Global Recovery Efforts</title><p>International experience suggests that recovery of vaccination coverage requires sustained effort and multiple strategies. Countries like Rwanda and Bangladesh have demonstrated successful catch-up campaigns using innovative approaches including door-to-door vaccination and integration with COVID-19 vaccine delivery [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref82">82</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">83</xref>].</p></sec><sec id="s4-8"><title>Study Limitations</title><p>Several limitations should be acknowledged in interpreting these findings [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref84">84</xref>]:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Temporal scope: The analysis is limited to 2019&#x2010;2021, preventing assessment of recovery efforts that may have begun in 2022&#x2010;2023 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref85">85</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Socioeconomic data: Detailed individual-level socioeconomic data were not available, limiting the ability to fully analyze equity impacts [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref86">86</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Causal attribution: While temporal associations are clear, directly attributing all coverage changes to COVID-19 requires careful consideration of other concurrent factors [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref87">87</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Subnational granularity: Provincial-level analysis, while informative, may mask important local variations within provinces [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref88">88</xref>].</p></list-item><list-item><p>Administrative versus survey data: This study relies on administrative data, which may differ from population-based survey estimates of vaccination coverage [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref89">89</xref>].</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s4-9"><title>Future Research Directions</title><p>Future research should examine [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref90">90</xref>]:</p><list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Recovery patterns in vaccination coverage post-2021</p></list-item><list-item><p>Cost-effectiveness of different catch-up vaccination strategies</p></list-item><list-item><p>Long-term impacts on vaccine-preventable disease incidence</p></list-item><list-item><p>Specific interventions implemented to restore coverage</p></list-item><list-item><p>Socioeconomic determinants of vaccination coverage disparities</p></list-item></list></sec><sec id="s4-10"><title>Conclusions</title><p>The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly impacted routine childhood vaccination coverage in Ecuador, with declines persisting through 2021. The evidence demonstrates that, while the immediate focus on the pandemic response was necessary, the collateral damage to essential health services created new public health challenges requiring urgent attention [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref91">91</xref>].</p><p>The sustained decline in vaccination coverage&#x2014;with some vaccines showing decreases exceeding 20 percentage points&#x2014;places Ecuador&#x2019;s children at increased risk of vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref92">92</xref>]. Regional disparities highlight how the pandemic exacerbated existing health inequities, with vulnerable populations facing compounded challenges in accessing immunization services [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref93">93</xref>].</p><p>Recovery requires comprehensive strategies addressing both immediate catch-up vaccination needs and longer-term health system strengthening [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref94">94</xref>]. Priority actions include implementing targeted mass vaccination campaigns, strengthening routine immunization services, and developing more resilient health systems capable of maintaining essential services during future health emergencies [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref95">95</xref>].</p><p>The findings underscore the critical importance of maintaining routine immunization programs during health crises and the need for pandemic preparedness plans that explicitly protect essential health services [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref96">96</xref>]. As Ecuador works to rebuild and strengthen its immunization program, the lessons learned from this pandemic experience must inform strategies to ensure no child is left unprotected against vaccine-preventable diseases [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref97">97</xref>].</p><p>Continued monitoring, evaluation, and research are essential to track recovery progress, evaluate intervention effectiveness, and inform evidence-based strategies for achieving and maintaining optimal vaccination coverage [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref98">98</xref>]. The protection of children&#x2019;s health through sustained immunization programs remains a cornerstone of public health that must be safeguarded against future disruptions [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref99">99</xref>].</p></sec></sec></body><back><ack><p>This research received no external funding. The article processing charge was funded by Universidad Indoam&#x00E9;rica.</p></ack><notes><sec><title>Data Availability</title><p>The data presented in this study are available from the Ministry of Public Health of Ecuador and the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INEC). Data are publicly available and can be accessed through their respective official websites.</p></sec></notes><fn-group><fn fn-type="con"><p>JS contributed to the conceptualization, methodology, investigation, data curation, original draft preparation, manuscript review and editing, visualization, supervision, and project administration. KPMC and AAR Sr contributed to the validation, formal analysis, statistical analysis, and manuscript review. 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